When it will not be the largest combat sports event of this summer, UFC 214 is the largest MMA event of the season. On top of the Jon Jones-Daniel Cormier rematch, the card features two extra title charms, contenders and enjoyable battles throughout.
Brad Taschuk of all MMAOddsBreaker.com, takes a look at where the gambling odds have proceeded for many 12 fights since opening lines (indicated in brackets) were published and he gives his thoughts on each matchup. All lines are courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Jon Jones (-280) vs. Daniel Cormier (+220)
Jones was a -170 favored first time these two scrapped and some naively anticipated the line would be similar this time around. But, it appears that Jones’ legal issues, run-in with USADA and layoff hasn’t had the impact expected online. It is difficult to blame bettors either, Cormier is now 38-years-old, has been through some hard battles since their very first meeting, and Jones won every aspect of that first battle. Expect something like – if not dominant – this time around.
Irrespective of how badly he takes his groundwork, Jones is the type of fighter that rises to the occasion like others. To him, this is the ultimate event. Cormier is his biggest rival and he has the opportunity to recover the belt that he never lost against him. That combination will result in a tremendous performance from Jones. Expect him to dispatch Cormier and re-assert his dominance in the division.
Tyron Woodley (-210) vs. Demian Maia (+160)
Much like the main event, this line has not seen much motion. Given that the contrasting styles, that’s not hard to believe. There’s a contingent of people who believe Woodley is going to starch Maia using the first punch he throws. They might well be correct. The opposing side of this coin is made up of people who think that Maia can shut the space, latch onto Woodley like he has so many others and just predominate his grappling. They could be right as well. Woodley’s tendency to back himself against the cage and play counter-puncher will be his passing. Maia has gotten so good at going into the clinch if not under stress he ought to be able to make Woodley miss once. Despite a high level wrestler the likes of Woodley, after Maia gets his hands on you, that is a huge trouble.
The Brazilian’s capacity to commence Jiu-Jitsu imports without hitting traditional takedowns is next to none (he’s perfected the only leg to rear take) and Woodley being the type of man who likes to explode from positions will only hurt him once that happens. It’s kind of surprising that Maia by Sub pays an extra dollar (+275 as of Thursday morning), because Woodley will not be able to survive 25 minutes of Maia engaging in the sort of fight he wants to. The other choice is most likely a fast Woodley KO (+350 for your champ in Round 1, incidentally ).
Cristiane « Cyborg » Justino (-1200) vs. Tonya Evinger (+600)
This battle being bettable is dependent on which type of bettor you are. If you have no difficulty throwing a massive line in a parlay, the Cyborg moneyline (at almost -1400), or Cyborg ITD (nearly -700) are almost sure things. If that’s not really your style, neither will be laying nearly 2-to-1 on a prop such as Cyborg Round 1.
The only case I could make for a play relies on Evinger’s strength. She’s taken damage in many of her fights and persevered and she probably won’t come back to conquer Cyborg in this one after a rough start, there’s an outside shot she can endure five minutes. However, even the costs for »Fight Begins Round 2″ and Cyborg Round two have dropped substantially (down to +150 and +450, respectively), which makes them less attractive even to someone who’s constantly on the search for some round robin legs.
Robbie Lawler (-175) vs. Donald Cerrone (+135)
It’s a shame this struggle is taking place after both guys have apparently passed their peak concerning durability, because a war with Lawler and Cerrone at their best would be a thing to behold. This battle will come down to distance management and in-fight decisions. Lawler wants to be indoors, Cerrone wants to be outside. The problem for Cerrone is that Lawler’s constant pressure will gradually see him get indoors and at the point, anticipate Cerrone to be much too ready to oblige him the war he’s searching for. While that will give us the type of struggle we want to see, don’t expect it to finish well for Cerrone.
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